The conjunction and disjunction fallacies are famous for revealing the limits of human reasoning about probability. This can be measured by telling people a short story about a character and then ...

Statistical mechanics and probability theory form a cornerstone of modern physics and applied mathematics by linking microscopic interactions with macroscopic phenomena. This interdisciplinary field ...

IN his “Scientific Inference”, Dr. Jeffreys has already adumbrated his approach to the theory of probability. The present book is a more systematic presentation of his views, beginning with the ...

Should defendants be convicted based on merely statistical evidence? To what extent are individuals responsible for group harms? Can voting in a non-swing state be justified? Are cosmological theories ...