The Washington Post revisited a 1976 feature predicting life in 2026, revealing how accurately it foresaw smartphones, solar ...

Market News UpdatesNews Commentary - The prediction markets sector is rapidly expanding in the digital finance and information field. These platforms allow users to trade contracts based on the ...

W. Scott Stornetta, whose 1991 research gave start to the blockchain industry, has joined the prediction platform SafeBets as ...

Guest column: For centuries, humans looked to seers and astrologers to determine fate. Today, we look to algorithms, and the loss of agency is the same. Carissa Véliz is an associate professor at the ...

Prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi have soared in popularity over the past few months. From bets on disease outbreaks to wagers about artificial intelligence, many of their markets ...

NEW YORK—The world’s largest prediction market Kalshi and Fox Corporation have announced a major deal that will see Kalshi’s data and forecasts integrated across Fox News Channel, Fox Business Network ...

Most predictions about the future age badly. They tend to be too optimistic, too catastrophic, or simply too strange to take seriously. Every now and then, though, someone gets it so right that it's ...

Traders on Kalshi give nearly 92% odds to tech layoffs in 2026 totaling more than they did in 2025. Polymarket traders give that a 87% chance of happening. In 2025, layoffs in the information sector ...

Prediction markets are having a moment. But what are they actually good for? Economist Robin Hanson has been thinking about this for decades. Long before betting markets went mainstream, he argued ...