It’s not unreasonable to approach election polls from a position of mild — maybe even more-than-mild — skepticism. In some cases this year, they’re projecting remarkable things, like Democrats having ...
Last night, Marist College published a poll showing Democrat Josh Turek leading by 8 points in Iowa’s Senate race. Our Silver ...
Tonight was the first and perhaps only debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Thanks to all of you who joined us in the subscriber chat. It’s been a busy couple of weeks with travel and a lot ...
Democrats have an increasingly large lead in the polls — and in FLIPR. But history says that shouldn’t be surprising.
One thing I’ll remember about this primary season is the continuous stream of broken fundraising records. First, Texas gave us the most expensive Senate primary in US history, with over $122 million ...
So if you take the polls at face value, we’re seeing a blue wave that’s … overwhelmingly concentrated in red states. As I wrote, there’s a coherent story behind it. And the evidence for it has been ...
It’s sometimes said that wealth is “destroyed” when the stock market declines, but it’s worth unpacking what that means. On the one hand, it’s true that when your investment portfolio loses value, ...
Pop quiz. Which Senate seat are Democrats more likely to flip: Ohio or Maine? This might seem like an easy question. In 2024, Kamala Harris won the Pine Tree State by 7 points, but lost the Buckeye ...
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