Can Democrats still win the Senate if the polls overestimate them? And how ugly could the map get for Republicans if the ...

You might notice that this page looks a little different today. Because we have so many charts — and want to add even more before Election Day — we’ve created three new pages to house our Senate, ...

Below, you’ll find our forecast for each 2026 House race, along with how our numbers have changed over time and which states are likeliest to decide control of the chamber. Below, you’ll find our ...

Republicans might hold on to one or two of the toss-up Senate races, but the tide will be too strong to resist elsewhere. At ...

This is the landing page the FLIPR 1 2026 Senate forecast. 2 This page is designed to be viewed on the web rather than in our ...

Below, you’ll find our forecast for each 2026 gubernatorial race, along with how our numbers have changed over time and a chart showing which party will govern more Americans after the midterms.4 ...

You’ve heard a lot about Michigan. But Democrats may have bigger problems in states where voters don’t trust their governance ...

It’s not unreasonable to approach election polls from a position of mild — maybe even more-than-mild — skepticism. In some cases this year, they’re projecting remarkable things, like Democrats having ...

Last summer, Republicans triggered an unprecedentedly broad wave of mid-decade redistricting by drawing themselves a more favorable map in Texas. Gavin Newsom and Democrats countered in California.

Today, Canadians will head to the polls to decide how to form their next government. Throughout 2023 and 2024, polling suggested the country’s next federal election would be a rout for the ...

Here at Silver Bulletin, we’ve been predicting that AI would become one of the most salient political issues for quite some time. That hasn’t happened with the general public quite yet — just 1 ...