Soon after the rankings reveal, ESPN’s Allstate Playoff Predictor weighed in. The Utes were given a 39 percent chance, two points higher than the Cougars. Don’t believe that, either. While the number is a reasonable reflection of Utah’s situation, BYU’s chances are much, much worse than 37 percent.

The biggest game in Week 13 is Cincinnati-BYU. If BYU wins this game, they will get even closer to appearing in the Big 12 championship game. If BYU loses, however, it will open up a number of scenarios that would give Houston, Utah, Arizona State and Cincinnati increased opportunities to make the conference championship game.